Tuesday 26 July 2011

Story of Shark and Monkey

“Once upon a time a man appeared in a village and announced to the villagers that he would buy monkeys for $10 each.
 
The villagers, seeing that there were many monkeys around, went out to the forest, and started catching them. The man bought thousands at $10 and as supply started to diminish, the villagers stopped their effort. He further announced that he would now buy at $20. This renewed the efforts of the villagers and they started catching monkeys again.
 
Soon the supply diminished even further and people started going back to their farms. The offer increased to $25 each and the supply of monkeys became so little that it was an effort to even see a monkey, let alone catch it!

The man now announced that he would buy monkeys at $50! However, since he had to go to the city on some business, his assistant would now buy on behalf of him.In the absence of the man, the assistant told the villagers. “Look at all these monkeys in the big cage that the man has collected. I will sell them to you at $35 and when the man returns from the city, you can sell them to him for $50 each.”
 
The villagers rounded up with all their savings and bought all the monkeys.

Then they never saw the man nor his assistant, only monkeys everywhere!

Wednesday 13 July 2011

Higher stocks pile on the pressure for CPO price

Quoted from CIMB analyst Ivy Ng..

Malaysia’s palm oil stock climbed 7% mom to an 18-month high of 2.05m tonnes in June..

..we continue to expect CPO prices to trend lower, possibly to below RM3,000 per tonne in the coming month as we estimate a 2% mom uptick in palm oil stock in July..

Palm oil stocks climbed for a fifth straight month to an 18-month high of 2.05m tonnes at end-June 2011, marking the first time that stocks are above the psychological 2m tonne mark this year..

All countries, except China buy more palm oil from us. Export increase from 1,406,000tonnes to 1,581,000tonnes.

Average local CPO price declined 2.5% mom but was 31% higher yoy at RM3,287 per tonne in June. This brought the average CPO price for 1H11 to RM3,463 per tonne, an increase of 35% from last year’s RM2,550. CIMB target average CPO price is RM3,200 for whole 2011. So 1H11 already average at RM3,463, what do you think of average for 2H11?? CIMB target average of RM2,900.. 

Wednesday 6 July 2011

5 July 2011

FKLI
- LONG 1 FKLI JUL @ 1576 (done on end of June)

FCPO
- SHORT 1 FCPO SEPT @ 3040
- Plan : To close at 2998 and try to SHORT back again

Balance = RM55,550

Tuesday 5 July 2011

Patience & Discipline

Patience and discipline..

Two simple words that is easy to say, but hard to practice in daily life..

Come on Potato!!

Be patience and stick to your solid discipline and you will be rewarded!!

Wednesday 22 June 2011

Back from Cambodia

It has been almost 1 month since i update my trading position.
 
I have been away to Cambodia for 8 days. Well, Cambodia is really a poor country. And I really admire the effort put in by the people there in various thing (including giving us tourist the best service they could). I can foresee Cambodia is a good place to invest in any kind of business, as it is still in its infant's stage of developing.

Although I am away, I do follow up 'shallowly' on equity and derivatives news. Well, let's get this Potato's Engine start again!!

FKLI
- currently, no position

FCPO
- currently, no position

Balance = RM55,550

Monday 16 May 2011

16 May 2011

FKLI
- currently, no position

FCPO
- LONG 1 FCPO JUL @ 3260
- initially want to close @ 3310
- but already close today @ 3290.. why? coz I dont know whether my system can work when we have to swap to new trading month..
- currently, no position

Balance = RM54,800 + RM750 (30 x RM25) = RM55,550

Wednesday 11 May 2011

11 MAY 2011

FKLI
- LONG FKLI MAY @ 1517
- today market is so bull
- already close @ 1527, locking in 10 points profit
- currently, no position

FCPO
- LONG 1 FCPO JUL @ 3260
- still queuing to close @ 3310
- must be discipline!!

Balance = RM54,300 + RM500 (10 x RM50) = RM54,800

Tuesday 10 May 2011

10 May 2011

FKLI
- LONG FKLI MAY @ 1517
- queue to close @ 1527

FCPO
- LONG 1 FCPO JUL @ 3260
- queue to close @ 3310

Balance = RM54,300

Tuesday 3 May 2011

3 May 2011

FKLI
- no position

FCPO
- SHORT 1 FCPO JUL @ 3325
- initially plan to close it at 3275 (refer to post 27 April 2011), however miss it by 2 points.
- it rises up on 28 April
- but really happy that on 29 April, it open gap down, so terus close at better price once market open 3245
- discipline is very important
- currently no position.. wait.. wait.. wait.. till next clear signal

Balance = RM52,300 + RM2,000 (80 x RM25) = RM54,300

Wednesday 27 April 2011

27 April 2011

FKLI
- no position

FCPO
- SHORT 1 FCPO JUL @ 3325
- still unable to close @ 3275..
- miss by 2 points to close.. ouch..
- what to do, have to be discipline..

Balance = RM52,300

Tuesday 26 April 2011

26 April 2011

FKLI
- no position

FCPO
- SHORT 1 FCPO JUL @ 3325
- queue to close @ 3275

Balance = RM52,300

Thursday 21 April 2011

21 April 2011

FKLI
- no position

FCPO
- long 1 FCPO JUL @ 3307
- close @ 3323
- just a bit not comfortable with signal, so didnt not close at 50 points away

Balance = RM51,900 + RM400 (16 x RM25) = RM52,300

Anyway, was away at Macau & Hong Kong from 14-17 April, so did not update check futures..

Monday 4 April 2011

4 April 2011

FKLI
- no position

FCPO
- I close my position @ 3352 last Friday
- see it going up makes me sad, but I must be disciplined
- no position now
- waiting patiently for the next clear signal

Balance = RM51,900

Friday 1 April 2011

1 April 2011

FKLI
- no position

FCPO
- LONG 1 FCPO JUN @ 3308
- sold @ 3352
- yeah!! must be discipline
- no position now

Balance = RM50,800 + RM1,100 (44 x RM25) = RM51,900

Thursday 31 March 2011

31 March 2011

FKLI
- no position
- don't join the party now.. it is halfway/or end? no one knows..

FCPO
- LONG 1 FCPO JUN @ 3308
- plan to sell @ 3352
- still refuse to touch my sell point.. argh.. must be discipline

Balance = RM50,800

Wednesday 30 March 2011

30 March 2011

FKLI
- SHORT 1 FKLI MAC @ 1535
- initially want to close at 1525, but see market upsurge so high
- so queue at price below next resistance of 1536
- currently no position

FCPO
- LONG 1 FCPO JUN @ 3308
- plan to sell @ 3352

Balance = RM49,900 - RM900 (18 x RM50) = RM50,800

Tuesday 29 March 2011

29 March 2011

FKLI
- SHORT 1 FKLI MAC @ 1509
- close @ 1517 .. lose again.. what to do .. signal ask to LONG
- now net position LONG 1 FKLI MAC @ 1517
- to close @ 1525

FCPO
- no position

Balance = RM50,300 - RM400 (8 x RM50) = RM49,900

Monday 28 March 2011

28 March 2011

FKLI
- SHORT 1 FKLI MAC @ 1509
- queue to close @ 1502

FCPO
- no position

Balance = RM50,300

Thursday 24 March 2011

24 March 2011

FKLI
- still no position

FCPO
- SHORT FCPO JUN @ 3341
- close FCPO JUN @ 3241
 

Balance = RM47,800 + RM2,500 (100 x RM25) = RM50,300

Wednesday 23 March 2011

23 March 2011

FKLI
- no position

FCPO
- SHORT FCPO JUN @ 3341
 
 Note : If go against my signal major trend, only aim 50 points for FCPO!!

Balance = RM47,800

22 March 2011

FKLI
- still hold long 2 contract MAC @ 1520
- close all @ 1508

FCPO
- LONG 2 FCPO JUN @ 3446
- CLOSE 2 FCPO JUN @ 3341
- lose money.. what have I done wrong this time? I follow signal..
- so.. sometimes signal may be wrong..
- then open another SHORT FCPO JUN @ 3341

Balance = RM54,250 - RM5,250  (2 x 105 x RM25) - RM1,200 (2 x 12 x RM50) = RM47,800

Monday 21 March 2011

21 March 2011

FKLI
- still hold long 2 contract MAC @ 1520
- speechless.. wait anxiously..

FCPO
- LONG 2 FCPO JUN @ 3446
- will queue to close 1 contract @ 3499
- 1 more contract plan to HOLD till at least 3600 region (or signal tell me to change)

Balance = RM54,250

Friday 18 March 2011

18 March 2011

FKLI
- still hold long 2 contract MAC @ 1520
- bad trade, stuck since 8 March 2011..
- however, today signal is LONG again for FKLI, dunno whether can break 1505, then next is 1511

FCPO
- LONG 2 FCPO JUN @ 3446
- will queue to close 1 contract @ 3499
- 1 more contract plan to HOLD till at least 3600 region (or signal tell me to change)

Balance = RM54,250

Tuesday 15 March 2011

15 March 2011

FKLI
- still hold long 2 contract MAC @ 1520
- it is too late for me to CLOSE my LONG now.. and also too late for me too go SHORT now..
- this time I dont follow my signal.. because I dont want to realized that loss.

FCPO
- still no position
- keep telling myself to wait.. wait.. wait.. for the next signal to come out

Balance = RM54,250

Monday 14 March 2011

14 March 2011

FKLI
- still hold long 2 contract MAC @ 1520
- was away for 2-day course, therefore didnt get to monitor at all
- LESSON learnt!! Don't hold any position when away for any reason..

FCPO
- still no position
- read from a book, got one signal that can allow me to LONG back anytime from now.. however, still want to stick back to my own system

Balance = RM54,250

Thursday 10 March 2011

10 March 2011

FKLI
- still hold long 2 contract MAC @ 1520

FCPO
- close MAY @ 3450
- no position for FCPo till next signal

Balance = RM50,750 + RM3,500 (140 pts x RM25) = RM54,250

Just came back from visiting Sepang Gold Coast. Nice development, with palm-tree shape water chalet. Price per night lowest is RM500 per nite.

Wednesday 9 March 2011

9 March 2011

FKLI
- hold 2 LONG MAC @ 1520 

FCPO
- SHORT 1 contract MAY @ 3590
- plan to close it tomorrow @ 3450

No action taken today. Will off to Sepang for 2 days to attend potato course, so may not update this blog.

Balance = RM50,750 

Tuesday 8 March 2011

8 March 2011

FKLI
- LONG 2 contract MAC @ 1520
- queue to close 1 contract @ 1530
- based on system 1
- order expired, unable to close 1 contract @ 1530, so now hold 2 LONG MAC @ 1520 (have to hold it overnight, recently dont like to hold it overnight)

FCPO
- hold 1 contract LONG MAY @ 3650
- this round of CPO, i enter a bit late.. get at high.. dont commit this mistake again next time
- close MAY contract @ 3590
- then, SHORT 1 contract MAY @ 3590

Balance = RM52,250 - RM1,500 (1 x 60 pts x RM25) = RM50,750

Monday 7 March 2011

7 March 2011

FKLI 
- still no position
- still waiting for system 1 signal to tell either LONG/SHORT..
- MEDIUM term signal still show SHORT lar..

FCPO
- hold 1 contract LONG May @ 3650
- plan to hold till signal in system 1 reverse into SHORT..

Friday 4 March 2011

4 March 2011

FKLI
-> no position

FCPO
-> CLOSE 1 contract MAY @ 3630
-> Still hold 1 contract LONG MAY @ 3630

Balance = RM51,000 + RM1,250 (1 x 50 pts x RM25) = RM52,250

Thursday 3 March 2011

3 March 2011

FKLI
-> LONG 2 contract FKLI MAC @ 1502
-> aim to close @ 1512
-> close both contract at 1512

FCPO
-> no action

Balance = RM50,000 + RM1,000 (2 x 10 pts x RM50) = RM51,000

Wednesday 2 March 2011

2 March 2011

FKLI
-> no position

FCPO
-> LONG 2 contract FCPO MAY @ 3580
-> Will lock in profit @3630, and another contract till signal reverse..

Based on System 1.

Tuesday 1 March 2011

Potato Investor

Nothing much to comment here.

Just a weblog to jot down all my trading experiences in FKLI and FCPO.

Start from RM50,000 on 1st March 2011. Let's see how I progress.

Rule that I must keep in mind are:
- Never use emotion
- Dont overtrade (Use 30:70 intial margin:maintenance margin rule)
- Follow signal 100%